Download | - View final version: Storm surge contributions to flood hazards on Canada's Atlantic coast (PDF, 6.4 MiB)
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DOI | Resolve DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12800 |
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Author | Search for: Provan, Mitchel1ORCID identifier: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0882-5272; Search for: Ferguson, Sean1; Search for: Murphy, Enda1 |
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Affiliation | - National Research Council of Canada. Ocean, Coastal and River Engineering
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Funder | Search for: Defence Research and Development Canada |
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Format | Text, Article |
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Abstract | A numerical hydrodynamic model was used to simulate the generation and evolution of storm surges in Atlantic Canada in response to synoptic-scale surface wind and atmospheric pressure fields. The modelling was conducted as part of a broader initiative to support community-scale inundation modelling and coastal flood risk assessment for communities located in the Acadian Peninsula region of New Brunswick. The 44 largest storm surge events on record at a tide gauge proximate to the region of interest were simulated using the numerical model. Initially, a comparison between simulated storm surges and peak non-tidal residuals from tide gauge records showed relatively poor agreement, producing an R² value of 0.403. Model skill was improved by incorporating the influence of sea ice cover on air-sea momentum transfer in the hydrodynamic model, and improved correlation with measured residuals was obtained by adding estimates of wave set-up to the predicted storm surges, ultimately resulting in an R2 value of 0.803. The results of the simulations provided a basis for identifying distinct regional factors affecting storm surges and water level residuals and demonstrated conditions where wave set-up and sea ice cover play an important role in contributing to extreme high water levels. |
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Publication date | 2022-09 |
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Publisher | Wiley |
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Licence | |
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In | |
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Language | English |
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Peer reviewed | Yes |
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Export citation | Export as RIS |
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Report a correction | Report a correction (opens in a new tab) |
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Record identifier | 9692143a-15bc-4334-893e-2483b4c12ba9 |
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Record created | 2024-03-19 |
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Record modified | 2024-03-19 |
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