Download | - View accepted manuscript: Competitive interference between influenza viral strains (PDF, 806 KiB)
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Author | Search for: Moghadas, Seyed M.1; Search for: Bowman, Christopher S.1; Search for: Arino, Julien |
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Affiliation | - National Research Council of Canada. NRC Institute for Biodiagnostics
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Format | Text, Article |
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Subject | influenza; viral strains; cross-immunity; epidemic models |
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Abstract | We propose a modelling framework for investigating the dynamics of competition between immunologically-related influenza viral strains in the absence of pre-existing immunity. Assuming that the host immune system will mount partial protection (cross-immunity) against one strain by virtue of having interacted with the other through exposure, we discuss the conditions for the occurrence of two distinct waves of infection during a single epidemic episode. Numerical simulations are presented to illustrate the possibility of infection waves with respect to the protection level induced by the first strain, and the time-lag for evolving the second strain. We propose directions for future work that involves extension of the model to include vaccination. |
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Publication date | 2009-07-01 |
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In | |
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Language | English |
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Peer reviewed | Yes |
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NPARC number | 19726585 |
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Export citation | Export as RIS |
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Report a correction | Report a correction (opens in a new tab) |
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Record identifier | 936b9860-8285-4df3-ae4a-8a4558fc244b |
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Record created | 2012-03-28 |
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Record modified | 2020-04-16 |
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