| DOI | Resolve DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.istruc.2022.08.066 |
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| Author | Search for: Wang, TengORCID identifier: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4836-1740; Search for: Bahrami, ZhilaORCID identifier: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0876-2689; Search for: Renaud, Guillaume1; Search for: Yang, Chunsheng1ORCID identifier: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3043-5622; Search for: Liao, Min1; Search for: Liu, ZhengORCID identifier: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7241-3483 |
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| Affiliation | - National Research Council of Canada. Aerospace
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| Funder | Search for: National Research Council of Canada |
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| Format | Text, Article |
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| Subject | crack growth prediction; probabilistic model; Bayesian inference; conjugate Bayes; uncertainty reduction |
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| Abstract | The stochastic property of fatigue crack growth is well-known, and brings a challenge for accuracy fatigue life prediction. This paper proposes a probabilistic model for predicting the fatigue crack growth under the framework of linear elastic fracture mechanics. The stress intensity factor is related to the crack length and load condition through finite element model. The material parameters and model error are regarded as random variables. Based on conjugate Bayesian analysis, a closed-form solution is derived to update the posterior distribution of material parameters according to the crack growth observation. Given the posterior distribution, a modified Paris–Erdogan model is adopted to predict the crack growth in a probabilistic view. The contribution of this paper is providing a closed-form solution for updating the well-known Paris–Erdogan equation, and predicting the crack propagation more efficiently and accurately. Comprehensive experiments show the superiority of the proposed method over existing Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approaches. |
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| Publication date | 2022-08-30 |
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| Publisher | Elsevier |
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| In | |
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| Language | English |
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| Peer reviewed | Yes |
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| Export citation | Export as RIS |
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| Report a correction | Report a correction (opens in a new tab) |
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| Record identifier | 6bd3c3c9-5640-4520-99bf-e62764f14b3c |
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| Record created | 2023-01-23 |
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| Record modified | 2023-03-16 |
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