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Policy and governance simulation for Arctic marine routes

From National Research Council Canada

Linkhttps://www.poac.com/Papers/2025/pdf/POAC25_paper_49.pdf
AuthorSearch for: ; Search for: ; Search for: ; Search for: 1ORCID identifier: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4568-1252; Search for: ORCID identifier: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5450-4587
Affiliation
  1. National Research Council Canada. Ocean, Coastal and River Engineering
FormatText, Article
Conference28th International Conference on Port and Ocean Engineering under Arctic Conditions, POAC, July 13-17, 2025, St. John’s, Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada
Subjectpolicy; simulation; routing; shipping; sea ice
Abstract
This paper introduces PoGo (Policy and Governance), a simulation framework designed to assess the operational impacts of maritime policies on shipping, particularly for navigation in sea ice. By integrating ship performance models, metocean conditions, local community factors, regulations like the Polar Code and Carbon Intensity Indicator, and employing a route optimization algorithm, PoGo enables the evaluation of policy decisions and their effects on rights-holders and ship operators. The main elements of PoGo are described and the framework of the code is outlined. A case study on a cargo transportation service to Iqaluit is used to exemplify some the tool’s features, focusing on vessel ice class, transportation season, fuel and crewing costs, carbon emissions, and voyage time. This application highlights how PoGo can be used as a strategic tool, identifying consequences of policy changes, navigation restrictions, and future regulation revisions. Effectively, the simulation framework can be used to assess the sensitivity of policy decisions in the context of Arctic shipping, and balance economic and other considerations.
Publication date
PublisherLulea University of Technology
POAC Secretary General
In
LanguageEnglish
Peer reviewedYes
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Record identifier175305b2-2eff-4f0e-8cf7-f504f5b75885
Record created2025-09-15
Record modified2025-09-24
Date modified: